Crown Point
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #38
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #6
Crown Point Regional Rank #2
Hebron Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 47.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational State Preview Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/14 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 446 503 521 596 491 537 489 479 505 429 475 489
Team Adjusted Rating 457 521 514 491 537 489 479 457 429 475 451
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Crown Point Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational State Preview Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
203  Destiny Lopez 11 20:22 20:26 20:47 20:19 20:43 20:29 20:30 20:21 20:27 20:19 20:17 20:13
237  Nora Carpenter 12 20:30 21:44 21:10 21:13 20:44 21:29 20:45 21:07 20:42 20:26 20:36 20:22
269  Nadia Brumbaugh 11 20:38 20:52 20:19 20:30 20:19 20:30 20:55 20:30 20:28 20:24 21:07 21:17 20:45
303  Jenny Diesem 9 20:45 20:40 20:54 21:13 20:35 20:54 20:40 20:40 20:54 20:35 20:44
336  Gabby Dejesus 9 20:55 20:59 21:04 21:52 21:33 20:56 21:33 21:12 20:44 20:43 21:23
391  Elli Pycraft 11 21:09 20:43 20:59 21:43 23:42 21:06 20:48 21:52 21:05
612  Jane Myres 10 21:45 21:59 21:52 21:42 22:01 21:27 21:45 21:55 21:32 21:42 22:00
641  Avery Moore 9 21:51 21:53
747  Jordan Siminski 12 22:07 21:49 21:13 21:45 22:44 22:40 22:30 21:32 22:05 21:54 22:33
752  Helena Grafton 12 22:08 23:38 22:18 22:03 21:56 22:26 22:13 22:05 22:03 21:47 22:42
818  Brianna Hulen 11 22:19 22:51 22:53 22:26 22:13 22:02
902  Reilly Lustina 11 22:30 21:31 21:53 22:51 22:54 22:20 22:28
1,039  Samantha Dorsch 10 22:47 22:05 22:17 22:53 22:49 23:09 22:29 22:42 23:05
1,055  Peyton Bishop 10 22:49 23:19 23:04 22:59 22:46 22:57 22:34
1,167  Hailey Gross 11 23:03 24:25 22:52 23:05 23:10 23:16 22:49
1,273  Samantha Walden 23:20 23:21
1,278  Kayla Carrera 9 23:20 23:02 23:53 23:33 23:23 22:53
Mikayla Vandergast 10 23:40 23:38 25:15 24:12 24:15 23:20 22:19
Natalee Pugh 10 23:55 22:07 23:33 24:20 24:18 24:02 23:19
Zoe Smith 9 24:06 24:31 24:36 24:19 24:03 23:30
Allie Hopkins 11 24:06 23:27 24:47
Haley Galocy 11 24:08 23:55 23:35 24:27 24:34 24:17 23:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 47.1% 23.0 535 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.7 2.8 5.5 10.2 24.9
Semi-State 100% 6.6 200 0.2 6.1 7.6 8.9 11.5 12.8 14.7 13.5 11.2 8.5 3.9 1.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.7 50 27.9 70.7 1.5
Sectionals 100% 1.0 30 99.2 0.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Destiny Lopez 47.2% 128.7 0.0% 0.6%
Nora Carpenter 47.1% 138.2 0.0% 0.1%
Nadia Brumbaugh 47.1% 148.2 0.0% 0.0%
Jenny Diesem 47.1% 156.6 0.0% 0.0%
Gabby Dejesus 47.1% 165.5 0.0% 0.0%
Elli Pycraft 47.1% 177.6 0.0% 0.0%
Jane Myres 47.1% 194.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Destiny Lopez 100% 41.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.8 100.0%
Nora Carpenter 100% 47.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 100.0%
Nadia Brumbaugh 100% 53.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Jenny Diesem 100% 59.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Gabby Dejesus 100% 66.4 100.0%
Elli Pycraft 100% 77.8 100.0%
Jane Myres 100% 107.0 99.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Destiny Lopez 100% 6.5 0.1 1.0 4.4 9.0 11.7 14.8 16.5 15.4 12.5 7.8 4.2 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Nora Carpenter 100% 8.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.5 5.8 8.8 12.7 15.7 16.4 15.4 10.3 5.7 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Nadia Brumbaugh 100% 9.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 2.0 4.2 6.3 9.8 13.7 17.5 17.1 13.8 8.4 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jenny Diesem 100% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.0 5.1 8.6 12.3 17.3 20.0 14.3 8.7 4.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Gabby Dejesus 100% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.0 5.3 9.7 16.2 22.5 17.2 11.2 6.5 3.2 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Elli Pycraft 100% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 4.3 9.5 17.4 18.2 16.1 12.9 8.6 5.2 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Jane Myres 100% 21.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 4.0 7.4 9.6 12.2 11.7 11.9 10.4 8.8 6.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Destiny Lopez 3.7 0.2 1.7 12.0 50.6 22.7 9.3 3.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Nora Carpenter 4.6 0.1 0.5 4.2 23.9 36.5 22.0 9.4 2.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Nadia Brumbaugh 5.5 0.1 1.4 9.0 21.7 33.4 21.8 9.5 2.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
Jenny Diesem 6.5 0.0 0.4 2.8 9.7 21.6 34.0 21.1 7.7 2.3 0.4 0.0
Gabby Dejesus 7.5 0.0 0.5 2.7 7.4 20.0 38.4 20.7 7.8 2.1 0.4 0.1
Elli Pycraft 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.4 11.9 35.6 29.9 13.7 3.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
Jane Myres 12.1 0.0 0.4 4.0 15.5 27.0 24.8 16.5 6.6 2.5 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0